Week of 8.14.17

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Meadow Brook Concert & Cuisine

More than 350 ($85 - $125 tickets) convened at Oakland University for the annual summer fundraiser for MBT - “Michigan’s answer to Broadway.” Before the food stations opened, folks lollygagged outside sipping beer and wine from the Rochester Tap Room and bid $9,000 for the silent auction items Colleen Brnabic and Maryann Foxlee had set up in the hallway. Generous local restaurants (see photo gallery) served savory fare for dining on the stroll before the theatre doors opened. Artistic director Travis Walter conducted a live auction with his trademark good humor. He got $500 from two bidders for two Dickens packages that included a walk-on role in MBT’s “A Christmas Carol”  and $900 for a Fender Squire Guitar signed by The Grass Roots Band.
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This weeks social light photos…

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oakland confidential

August 2017

HORSE RACES: Democratic aspirations of taking a majority hold on Congress after the 2018 General Election will hinge on the party’s ability to take two dozen congressional seats, which may include upsets in Michigan’s 8th and 11th Districts, according to recent rankings of 82 districts by The New York Times. The piece split the districts into eight groups to watch, based on competitiveness ...more»
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David Trott
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07/26/2017 - HORSE RACES: Democratic aspirations of taking a majority hold on Congress after the 2018 General Election will hinge on the party's ability to take two dozen congressional seats, which may include upsets in Michigan's 8th and 11th Districts, according to recent rankings of 82 districts by The New York Times. The piece split the districts into eight groups to watch, based on competitiveness of the district and candidate vulnerability. The Times put Republican sophomore David Trott's 11th District in the "Suburban Stragglers" group, which was the third most likely to see Republican losses in GOP-favored districts. The incumbents in the group may be vulnerable because of their short time in office and/or win margins in recent elections. (Trott won about 53 percent of the vote in his district in 2016, down from about 56 percent in 2014.) For the 8th District, The Times placed Congressman Mike Bishop (R-Rochester Hills) in the "Gerrymander Breakdown" category, which they predict is the second to last likely to see upsets. The group, while still favoring Republicans, in part due to gerrymandering, includes districts that have gained Democratic voters. An upset in the 8th District, as posited by The Times piece, includes "the possibility of a midterm turnout mismatch between the high-turnout, well-educated, now highly energized and increasingly Democratic-leaning parts of these districts (like Lansing, Michigan) and the lower-turnout, perhaps deflated Republican countryside that's supposed to overwhelm it." GOP losses in each of the groups depend on a wave of Democratic wins in 2018. However, those predicting a similar wave in 2016 ended up being all wet. "The Trump factor has discombobulated everyone," said political analyst Bill Ballenger. "On paper, you would think these two districts are beyond the Democrat's reach... but Democrats are hungry."

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Elissa Slotkin
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READY, AIM, FIRE: The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee has Rep. Mike Bishop of Rochester and Rochester Hills in their crosshairs for 2018, formally listing the MI-8 seat as one they want to flip, and think they have hit the bullseye with former Bloomfield Hills resident Elissa Slotkin, who recently moved back into Michigan to her family's farm in Holly, after a stellar career in the CIA and Defense Department. A 1994 Cranbrook grad, she stated that 9/11 occurred during her first week at Columbia University for graduate school, setting her on her life's trajectory. "I decided I would join the intelligence community and work to prevent future terrorist attacks against the United States," Slotkin said. Besides being a Middle East analyst for the CIA, she was deployed to Baghdad, serving three tours of duty, and meeting her husband, Dave Moore, a retired Army colonel. She worked in W.'s White House in various defense and intelligence roles, in the Defense Department under Obama, and until January 2017, was the Acting Secretary of Defense for Russia, Middle East, Europe and Africa. Lest folks think she's a carpetbagger coming home to run for office, her great-grandfather started Hygrade Foods, of Ballpark Franks fame, and she has family here. While Bishop beat his Democratic opponent Suzanna Shkreli, 56 to 39 percent, in 2016, he may now have a true challenge. She's actively raising money, and we assume there's family money she can turn to.

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